Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.059673 0.071160 0.084090 0.099700 0.118009 0.138775 0.164091
2025-02-16 0.041388 0.055811 0.073963 0.098379 0.130239 0.170273 0.224245
2025-02-23 0.032483 0.048271 0.069957 0.101676 0.146593 0.207579 0.296236
2025-03-02 0.024878 0.040188 0.062846 0.098421 0.152369 0.230479 0.351306
2025-03-09 0.020322 0.035308 0.058970 0.098460 0.161948 0.259014 0.417218
2025-03-16 0.016639 0.030903 0.054793 0.096927 0.168319 0.282902 0.478515
2025-03-23 0.014471 0.028539 0.053381 0.099402 0.181088 0.317914 0.561166
2025-03-30 0.012246 0.025586 0.050362 0.098464 0.187676 0.343236 0.630495
2025-04-06 0.010270 0.022683 0.046885 0.096015 0.191013 0.363060 0.692303
2025-04-13 0.008572 0.019981 0.043291 0.092682 0.192062 0.378645 0.747963
2025-04-20 0.007676 0.018788 0.042467 0.094606 0.203306 0.414023 0.843759
2025-04-27 0.006767 0.017375 0.040937 0.094803 0.211046 0.443468 0.931326
2025-05-04 0.005941 0.016018 0.039354 0.094757 0.218523 0.473753 1.025057
2025-05-11 0.005319 0.015030 0.038439 0.096062 0.229093 0.511582 1.138512
2025-05-18 0.004928 0.014548 0.038622 0.099897 0.245718 0.563811 1.287484
2025-05-25 0.004213 0.013047 0.036070 0.096831 0.246239 0.581718 1.365490
2025-06-01 0.003753 0.012153 0.034880 0.096899 0.254052 0.616373 1.483605
2025-06-08 0.003288 0.011134 0.033183 0.095396 0.257837 0.642324 1.584971
2025-06-15 0.003036 0.010706 0.033005 0.097836 0.271696 0.692937 1.747912
2025-06-22 0.002693 0.009913 0.031663 0.096912 0.276845 0.723522 1.867180
2025-06-29 0.002348 0.009026 0.029890 0.094500 0.277752 0.743919 1.964200
2025-07-06 0.002024 0.008133 0.027929 0.091217 0.275845 0.757098 2.044928
2025-07-13 0.001875 0.007826 0.027726 0.093112 0.288505 0.808497 2.226289